Yves here. The deadline for stitching up a deal on extending Covid-era ACA subsidies is bearing down on the Trump Administration and Congress like a freight train. No fix means millions of Americans face painful insurance premium increases for 2026, between already-high scheduled increases plus the loss of the extra support. Many, including some podcasters, have said they will probably have to forego coverage.
If there were any hope of the Republicans retaining the House in the midterms, throwing this many citizens under the bus would seem to kill it stone cold dead. Admittedly, Chuck Schumer and his Democrat Senate stooges were the ones who blinked on the shutdown, which had been intended to make the cost to the Republicans of doing nothing to become impossibly high. However, with the Republicans controlling both houses and the Administration, it’s hard to see how they can shift blame.
We are providing a discussion of what Trump tried presenting as an alternative, which is health savings accounts paired with high deductible insurance plans. The idea makes sense at most for the generally healthy well off, who can salt away a lot in the savings accounts and also conceivably stand the risk of a big medical bill. Giving middle and lower income citizens a few thousand dollars for these accounts is a band-aid level solution to the gunshot wound of huge health care costs for anything beyond very routine care.
Proponents claim, without any trace of shame, that patients need skin in the game so they will find good health care at cheaper prices. Please tell me where to find this unicorn. Being a libertarian means never having to say you are sorry.
Hence the lack of uptake on the Trump “old wine in new bottles” scheme.
By Noam N. Levey. Originally published at KFF Health News
Sarah Monroe once had a relatively comfortable middle-class life.
She and her family lived in a neatly landscaped neighborhood near Cleveland. They had a six-figure income and health insurance. Then, four years ago, when Monroe was pregnant with twin girls, something started to feel off.
“I kept having to come into the emergency room for fainting and other symptoms,” recalled Monroe, 43, who works for an insurance company.
The babies were fine. But after months of tests and hospital trips, Monroe was diagnosed with a potentially dangerous heart condition.
It would be costly. Within a year, as she juggled a serious illness and a pair of newborns, Monroe was buried under more than $13,000 in medical debt.
Part of the reason: Like tens of millions of Americans, she had a high-deductible health plan. People with these plans typically pay thousands of dollars out of their own pockets before coverage kicks in.
The plans, which have become common over the past two decades, are getting renewed attention thanks to President Donald Trump and his GOP allies in Congress.
Many Republicans are reluctant to extend government subsidies that help cover patients’ medical bills and insurance premiums through the Affordable Care Act.
And although GOP leaders have yet to coalesce around an alternative, several leading Republican lawmakers have said Americans who don’t get insurance through an employer should get cash in a special health care account, paired with a high-deductible health plan. In such an arrangement, someone could choose a plan on an ACA marketplace that costs less per month but comes with an annual deductible that can top $7,000.
“A patient makes the decision,” Sen. Bill Cassidy (R-La.) said at a recent hearing. “It empowers the patient to lower the cost.”
In a post on Truth Social last month, Trump said, “The only healthcare I will support or approve is sending the money directly back to the people.”
Conservative economists and GOP lawmakers have been making similar arguments since high-deductible health plans started to catch on two decades ago.
Back then, a backlash against the limitations of HMOs, or health maintenance organizations, propelled many employers to move workers into these plans, which were supposed to empower patients and control costs. A change in tax law allowed patients in these plans to put away money in tax-free health savings accounts to cover medical bills.
“The notion was that if a consumer has ‘skin in the game,’ they will be more likely to seek higher-quality, lower-cost care,” said Shawn Gremminger, who leads the National Alliance of Healthcare Purchaser Coalitions, a nonprofit that works with employers that offer their workers health benefits.
“The unfortunate reality is that largely has not been the case,” Gremminger said.
Today, deductibles are almost ubiquitous, with the average for a single worker with job-based coverage approaching $1,700, up from around $300 in 2006.
But even as high deductibles became widespread, medical prices in the U.S. skyrocketed. The average price of a knee replacement, for example, increased 74% from 2003 to 2016, more than double the rate of overall inflation.
At the same time, patients have been left with thousands of dollars of medical bills they can’t pay, despite having health insurance.
About 100 million people in the U.S. have some form of health care debt, a 2022 survey showed.
Most, like Monroe, are insured.
Although Monroe had a health savings account paired with her high-deductible plan, she was never able to save more than a few thousand dollars, she said. That wasn’t nearly enough to cover the big bills when her twins were born and when she got really ill.
“It’s impossible, I will tell you, impossible to pay medical bills,” she said.
There was another problem with her high-deductible plan. Although these plans are supposed to encourage patients to shop around for medical care to find the lowest prices, Monroe found this impractical when she had a complex pregnancy and heart troubles.
Instead, Monroe chose the largest health system in her area.
“I went with that one as far as medical risk,” she said. “If anything were to happen, I could then be transferred within that system.”
Federal rules that require hospitals to post more of their prices can make comparing institutions easier than it used to be.
But unlike a car or a computer, most medical services remain difficult to shop for, in part because they stem from an emergency or are complex and can stretch over numerous years.
Researchers at the nonprofit Health Care Cost Institute, for example, estimated that just 7% of total health care spending for Americans with job-based coverage was for services that realistically could be shopped for.
Fumiko Chino, an oncologist at the MD Anderson Cancer Center in Houston, said it makes no sense to expect patients with cancer or another chronic disease to go out and compare prices for complicated medical care such as surgeries, radiation, or chemotherapy after they’ve been diagnosed with a potentially deadly illness.
“You’re not going be able to actually do that effectively,” Chino said, “and certainly not within the time frame that you would need to when facing a cancer diagnosis and the imminent need to start treatment.”
Chino said patients with high deductibles are often instead slammed with a flood of huge medical bills that lead to debt and a cascade of other problems.
She and other researchers found in a study presented last year that cancer patients who had high-deductible health insurance were more likely to die than similar patients without that kind of coverage.
For her part, Monroe and her family were forced to move out of their house and into a 1,100-square-foot apartment.
She drained her savings. Her credit score sank. And her car was repossessed.
There have been other sacrifices, too. “When families get to have nice Christmases or get to go on spring break,” Monroe said, hers often does not.
She is thankful that her children are healthy. And she continues to have a job. But Monroe said she can’t imagine why anyone would want to double down on the high-deductible model for health care.
“We owe it to ourselves to do it a different way,” she said. “We can’t treat people like this.”
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