Links 10/13/2025 | naked capitalism

I’d like to be more wild. Eat Flowers, Drink Paint

A Long-Awaited Longevity Mystery Solved Ground Truths

Climate/Environment

Earth’s Climate Has Passed Its First Irreversible Tipping Point and Entered a ‘New Reality’ 404 Media

High-resolution ‘fingerprint’ images reveal a weakening Atlantic Ocean circulation (AMOC) RealClimate

‘Nothing to harvest’: After unprecedented wildfires, the forestry industry is forced to adapt The Narwhal

Climate Change Comes for the House of the Seven Gables Inside Climate News

Looking at the chaos at the CDC and why it matters for federal meteorological science Balanced Weather

Pandemics

Immunosupremacy: COVID & Past Pandemics Disability, Chronic Illness, & Culture

One Mutation Away From The Next Global Pandemic: Fall 2025 Update On H5N1 Lil Science

Water

Saudi-owned corporate farms are draining Arizona’s desert dry Floodlight

The Koreas

North Korea Unveils New Hwasong-20 Solid Fuelled Multi-Warhead ICBM Built to Hit the U.S. Mainland Military Watch

Africa

World War III: The African Scenario Marat Khairullin Substack

Madagascar: confusion in Antananarivo as part of the army mutinies The Africa Report

RSF drone strike kills at least 60 in Sudan displacement camp France24

India-Pakistan-Afghanistan

🇵🇰🇵🇸 BREAKING!!! Dozens of casualties and even fatalities are being reported after a pro Palestine protest near the American Embassy in Pakistan was intercepted by government forces. pic.twitter.com/2LRXcA5AQg

— DD Geopolitics (@DD_Geopolitics) October 13, 2025

Pakistan seals Afghan border crossings amid clashes DW

Engagement Can’t Be Endorsement: Six Problems With Modi Government’s Taliban Embrace The Wire

The World’s Taiwan Strategy Runs Through the Philippines The Diplomat

China?

MOFCOM Spokesperson’s Remarks on China’s Recent Economic and Trade Policies and Measures

Q: On October 9, the Ministry of Commerce and the General Administration of Customs published an announcement on imposing export control measures on related rare earth items. What are…

— 中华人民共和国商务部MOFCOM (@MOFCOM_China) October 12, 2025

How Critical Are Bilateral Imports and Exports to the Economies of the US and China? Larry Johnson

Pal, the export markets aren’t that important. Don’t you get it? The U.S. is out of its league for the simple reason that it think that it is the centre of the universe. You’re going to need to do much better. https://t.co/DZoMLIlaM2 pic.twitter.com/aePYjyBrlb

— Warwick Powell | 鲍韶山 (@baoshaoshan) October 11, 2025

Dutch govt accused of freezing operations of Chinese semiconductor giant’s chipmaker Nexperia Pekingnology. Major escalation by the EU.

Trump threatens export controls on Boeing parts in response to China Reuters

Here’s a question I know many are wondering about: why did China wait until now to use rare earths as leverage against the US? Why not in the first Trump administration when the US started the trade hostilities? Or when the Biden administration unleashed the chips export controls…

— Arnaud Bertrand (@RnaudBertrand) October 12, 2025

Donald J. Trump Truth Social Post 12:43 PM EST 10/12/25 pic.twitter.com/kwE6p5e4u6

— Commentary Donald J. Trump Posts From Truth Social (@TrumpDailyPosts) October 12, 2025

China tightens export controls on battery materials and equipment The Battery Chronicle. This has gotten a bit lost with focus on rare earths.

China quietly funnels billions to Iran through secret oul-for-concrete scheme, bypassing U.S. sanctions Regtechtimes

Old Blighty

Crisis: One in four Scots directly affected by homelessness Scottish Housing News

Will the SNP Reform or Rebrand? BarrheadBoy

Syraqistan

Israeli Soldiers Torched Food, Homes, and a Critical Sewage Treatment Plant in the Wake of Ceasefire Announcement Drop Site

8\ As Israel freezes the IDF withdrawal lines from Gaza & turns the genocide into a low-intensity campaign, the prospect of Israeli settlers moving in increases dramatically

A thousand settler families are already waiting at Gaza’s borders with tents & caravans, ready to move in… pic.twitter.com/Yo4cvina3H

— Muhammad Shehada (@muhammadshehad2) October 12, 2025

“Gaza’s waterfront property could be very valuable …I’m sitting in Miami Beach right now. And I’m looking at the situation and I’m thinking: what would I do if I was there?…I would do my best to move the people out and then clean it up.”

–Jared Kushner, March 2024

Israeli army releases a video from Jared Kushner and Steve Witkoff visit to Gaza today pic.twitter.com/pudcfhSUmq

— Levent Kemal (@leventkemaI) October 11, 2025

Israeli Defense Minister Says IDF Will Destroy Gaza Tunnels Once Hamas Releases Israeli Captives Antiwar

For those wondering why an “anti-Hamas” militia would kill an innocent journalist — it’s because Israel paid them to. https://t.co/CCFouIDkxp pic.twitter.com/8bQUaU0HPD

— James Li (@5149jamesli) October 12, 2025

Arab states expanded cooperation with Israeli military during Gaza war, files show WaPo

Israeli arms makers welcome Gaza ceasefire to reverse falling sales to Europe The Cradle

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Syria’s Parliamentary Election Results look Alarmingly like Iraq 2005, which produced a Civil War Informed Comment

Alastair Crooke: Fake Peace in Gaza & Full-Scale War With Iran Glenn Diesen (Video)

Lawrence Wilkerson: The Path From Forever Wars to Nuclear War Glenn Diesen (Video). Vanessa Beeley, on the other hand, believes US-Israel using chemical weapons is strong possibility.

European Disunion

Macron’s France now has a new Cabinet. It will face an uphill battle to end the political crisis AP

As France wavers on FCAS, Europe weighs alternatives for its next-gen fighter jet Euractiv

European far right follows Trump in calling for antifa to be declared terrorists The Guardian

Brussels looks to spin its red-tape cuts as a gift to Trump Politico

New Not-So-Cold War

US Revealed to Be Coordinating Ukrainian Deep-Strikes, as Trump Flirts With Tomahawks Simplicius

Ukraine Accuses Russia of Deliberately Severing External Link to Zaporizhzhia Plant Reuters

Zelenskyy warns Russia exploiting lack of ‘attention’ on war Channel News Asia

Putin’s Cryptic Remarks on New Weapon Stir Global Concern Military Affairs

RILEY WAGGAMAN: THE SMO HAS ACHIEVED EVERYTHING IT WAS SUPPOSED TO PREVENT IN UKRAINE Natylie’s Place

The £1m man: why did Boris Johnson take his donor to Ukraine? The Guardian

South of the Border

WHAT IS RUSSIA’S STRATEGIC PARTNERSHIP AGREEMENT WITH VENEZUELA WORTH IF THE US ATTACKS John Helmer

“Liberation Day”

UPS is telling customers that their packages coming to the US are marked for destruction Business Insider

Trump 2.0

Vance says Trump is ‘looking at all his options’ as the president threatens to invoke the Insurrection Act NBC News

Trump orders military paychecks as troops move into cities WSWS

A food bank lined up with military members who didn’t receive a paycheck this week:

pic.twitter.com/c2q76LAF7g

— Spencer Hakimian (@SpencerHakimian) October 10, 2025

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Government shutdown updates: Coding errors blamed for some CDC layoffs, official says ABC News

As the dust settles, it’s clear that Vought’s RIFs amount to a Friday night massacre at the CDC. Lots of confusion as to the total number gone. But several sources tell me top officials and many staff at the center for Chronic Disease Prevention and Health Promotion and the…

— Sam Stein (@samstein) October 11, 2025

This is a clear Hatch Act violation. This video is currently playing at every federal airport.

“Democrats in Congress refuse to fund the federal government, & because of this…most of our TSA employees are working without pay.”

Imagine if Biden used taxpayer dollars to put ads… pic.twitter.com/cnhxIWyFe5

— Ed Krassenstein (@EdKrassen) October 11, 2025

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Shoutout to this guy for opening a $330M short position on Ethereum minutes before Trump announced more tariffs on China.

Let the corruption live on. pic.twitter.com/Tb3WGsTsON

— blake (@blakestonks) October 10, 2025

Police State Watch

Man Wrongly Imprisoned for Decades Finally Freed—And Gets Immediately Nabbed by ICE Common Dreams

Accelerationists

Marc Benioff encourages Trump to send National Guard to SF; says he is ‘doing a great job’ San Francisco Standard

NSO to be acquired by U.S. investors, ending Israeli control of Pegasus maker Calcalist

Imperial Collapse Watch

Eighteen workers obliterated in seconds because an explosives plant with a history of safety violations and employee seizures was allowed to keep running like nothing ever happened. OSHA had red flags, but oversight in this country only kicks in after the funerals. A…

— Charles Perreira (@CharlesPerreir7) October 11, 2025

The arms manufacturer that operates this plant, Accurate Energetic Systems LLC, is the prime DOD contractor for the M18A1 Claymore Mine, which have been sent in large quantities to Ukraine, and just received a $120 million contract last month to produce TNT for artillery rounds pic.twitter.com/CDPCrPjple

— Michael Tracey (@mtracey) October 11, 2025

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The Shipping Mess, Part 1: Global fleets shift routes, raise costs, slow deliveries to US markets Kevin Walmsley (Part 2)

US Military Launches Unprecedented $1bn Critical Minerals Stockpile Amid China Export Restrictions Swarajya. From where? Who will do the processing?

THE STATE DEPARTMENT ISN’T TELLING CONGRESS WHEN U.S. WEAPONS FALL INTO THE WRONG HANDS The Intercept

AI

Police Say People Keep Calling 911 Over an ‘AI Homeless Man’ TikTok Prank Gizmodo

Can OpenAI build a social network? Read Max

Economy

AI profiteering is now indistinguishable from trolling Blood in the Machine

For Many, This Recession Will Feel Like a Depression Charles Hughs Smith

Mr. Market Braces for Impact

Stock Bubble Dread Grips Central Bankers in Washington Bloomberg

Ukrainian crypto influencer Konstantin Ganich found dead in Lamborghini during market crash Express Tribune

Class Warfare

‘Death to Spotify’: the DIY movement to get artists and fans to quit the music app The Guardian

23 Unions Plan to Strike Together If Kaiser Fails to Address Workplace Crises Truthout

Remedies for Ridiculous House Prices Steve Keen

Antidote du jour (via):

Bonus:

How it feels to watch a baseball game with no rooting interest that is currently putting 2 fanbases in the worst hell they could imagine pic.twitter.com/ShqzzPvllN

— AT (@YankeeWRLD) October 11, 2025

See yesterday’s Links and Antidote du Jour here.