Upbeat earnings and renewed confidence in AI trade have driven U.S. equities higher despite the ongoing conflict with Iran, with investors now turning their attention to IPOs of some of the largest private AI companies, including SpaceX.
“For those of us that have been working that long, the tech rallies we’ve been seeing this year are reminiscent of the boom at the end of the 1990s,” said Chris Zaccarelli, chief investment officer for Northlight Asset Management.
“It’s also possible that some of the lessons that were learned after the tech bubble burst over 25 years ago will prevent the same thing from happening again.” The market took comfort from comments by U.S. Secretary of State Marco Rubio, who said that a deal with Tehran to halt the conflict could “take a few days,” while Iran’s Tasnim news agency reported that Tehran was seeking the release of $24 billion of Iranian funds frozen overseas.
“Even though we don’t have an end of the war yet, there’s a very high likelihood the situation will resolve itself in a peaceful fashion sooner rather than later,” said Adam Sarhan, chief executive of 50 Park Investments.
“But the reality is that earnings are expected to grow even with high inflation. The economy is still growing, and the market is a mirror of the economy to a large extent.”According to preliminary data, the S&P 500 gained 46.00 points, or 0.62%, to end at 7,519.47 points, while the Nasdaq Composite gained 311.92 points, or 1.18%, to 26,655.89. The Dow Jones Industrial Average fell 106.60 points, or 0.21%, to 50,473.10.The S&P 500, the Nasdaq and the Russell 2000 touched intraday record highs on Tuesday, underscoring the strength of the recent rally.
Brent crude futures climbed about 4% on Tuesday after the U.S. military carried out strikes in Iran, adding to uncertainty over whether a deal would be reached soon to end the war and open up shipping flows through the Strait of Hormuz. Qualcomm rose after Bloomberg News reported it reached a deal with TikTok owner ByteDance to supply chips, while Marvell Technology ended higher. The Philadelphia SE Semiconductor Index hit an all-time high.
With the earnings season winding down, first-quarter earnings growth is expected to be 29% year-on-year compared with the 16.1% estimated a month ago, according to LSEG data from Friday.
