Coffee Break: Armed Madhouse – Circular Error Probability
Circular error probability (CEP) is the metric weapons designers use to describe the accuracy of munitions. CEP is defined as ...
Tuesday, July 8, 2025
Tag: Probability
Wall Street Bleeds $2.85T as Polymarket Degens Bet on Recession, Now a 49% Probability
Speculators on Polymarket are wagering substantial sums on a contract gauging the likelihood of a U.S. economic downturn by 2025. ...
The probability of a recession is approaching 50%, Deutsche markets survey finds
U.S. dollar banknotes and a label with the word "Recession" are seen in this illustration taken March 19, 2025.Dado Ruvic ...
Low Probability of Loss: Why It Doesn’t Equal Low Risk in Investing
In golf, a hole-in-one is a remarkable feat. The odds? Roughly one in 850,000 from a distance of 150 yards ...
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