U.S. tariffs on Indian goods are now 50%, a level analysts warn is akin to a trade embargo

Trump has raised pressure on India over the energy transactions, a key source of revenue for Moscow’s war in Ukraine, as part of a campaign to end the conflict.

The latest salvo strains U.S.-India ties, giving New Delhi fresh incentive to improve relations with Beijing.

While Trump has slapped fresh duties on allies and competitors alike since returning to the presidency in January, this 50% level is among the highest that U.S. trading partners face.

Crucially, however, exemptions remain for sectors that could be hit with separate levies—like pharmaceuticals and computer chips.

The Trump administration has launched investigations into these and other sectors that could culminate in further duties. Smartphones are in the list of exempted products as well.

Industries that have already been singled out, such as steel, aluminum and automobiles, are similarly spared these countrywide levies.

The United States was India’s top export destination in 2024, with shipments worth $87.3 billion.

But analysts have cautioned that a 50% duty is akin to a trade embargo and is likely to harm smaller firms.

Exporters of textiles, seafood and jewelry were already reporting cancelled U.S. orders and losses to rivals such as Bangladesh and Vietnam, raising fears of heavy job cuts.

‘Eroded trust’

New Delhi has criticized Washington’s move as “unfair, unjustified and unreasonable.”

The world’s fifth-largest economy is looking to cushion the blow, with Prime Minister Narendra Modi promising to lower the tax burden on citizens during an annual speech to mark India’s independence.

Modi earlier vowed self-reliance as well, pledging to defend his country’s interests.

The foreign ministry previously said India had begun importing oil from Russia as traditional supplies were diverted to Europe over Russia’s invasion of Ukraine.

It noted that Washington actively encouraged such imports at the time to strengthen stability in the global energy market.

Russia accounted for nearly 36% of India’s total crude oil imports in 2024. Buying Russian oil saved India billions of dollars on import costs, keeping domestic fuel prices relatively stable.

But the Trump administration held firm on its tariff plans in the lead-up to Wednesday’s deadline.

Trump’s trade adviser Peter Navarro told reporters last week that “India doesn’t appear to want to recognize its role in the bloodshed.”

“It’s cozying up to Xi Jinping,” Navarro added, referring to the Chinese president.

Wendy Cutler, senior vice president at the Asia Society Policy Institute, told AFP: “One of the most troubling developments in the Trump tariff saga is how India moved from a promising candidate for an early trade deal to a nation facing among the highest tariffs imposed by the U.S. against any trading partner.”

Cutler, a former US trade official, said India has been reforming and opening despite its history of being tough on trade matters.

But these trends may be called into question with Trump’s sharp levies.

“The high tariffs have quickly eroded trust between the two countries, which could take years to rebuild,” she said.

Trump has used tariffs as a tool for addressing everything from what Washington deems as unfair trade practices to trade imbalances.

U.S. trade deficits were a key justification behind his higher duties on dozens of economies taking effect in early August—hitting partners from the European Union to Indonesia.

But the 79-year-old Republican has also taken aim at specific countries such as Brazil over the trial of its former president Jair Bolsonaro, who is accused of plotting a coup.

U.S. tariffs on many Brazilian goods surged to 50% this month, but with broad exemptions.