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Home Market Research Markets

Jamie Dimon Called Out Investors—Are We Too Complacent About the Economy?

by TheAdviserMagazine
5 months ago
in Markets
Reading Time: 13 mins read
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Jamie Dimon Called Out Investors—Are We Too Complacent About the Economy?
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In This Article

Jamie Dimon, the CEO of JPMorgan Chase and one of the most influential figures in global finance, recently made a bold statement: Investors are showing “an extraordinary amount of complacency.” That immediately caught my attention.

I’ve been analyzing markets for a long time, and I’ve seen cycles where investor sentiment gets too negative—and others where it swings too far in the other direction. Right now, I believe we’re in one of those moments where people are ignoring some pretty serious economic risks. Dimon’s comments weren’t about panic. They were about awareness. And I agree with him.

Markets Are Rebounding—But That Doesn’t Mean the Risk is Gone

On the surface, the market looks healthy. Stocks have rebounded. Bitcoin is trading near its highs. Gold is strong. And while real estate is still soft, some investors are beginning to get active again. But I think this is exactly what Dimon was warning about: the idea that because markets bounced back, the problems are solved.

That just isn’t the case.

Earlier this year, when tariffs were announced, markets dropped fast. It looked like a correction. But instead of digesting the underlying risks, investors shrugged it off. Stocks climbed right back up. And now we’re acting like nothing happened. From my perspective, that kind of reaction is a textbook example of complacency.

Tariffs Are a Drag

Let’s be honest: If we had announced 30% tariffs on China and 10% on the rest of the world a year ago, it would’ve been headline news for weeks. Now, it barely registers. But the economic impact is real—and it’s growing.

Tariffs raise costs for businesses. Those costs get passed on to consumers. And even if the long-term strategy is to bring manufacturing back to the U.S.—which I support—that transition will take years. In the meantime, these tariffs are a drag on the economy. They hit small businesses the hardest, and they’re already operating on thin margins.

The Bigger Concern: Stagflation, Debt, and Structural Risk

What worries me most is that we’re not just talking about recession anymore. We’re staring down the barrel of a more complex challenge: stagflation. That’s when inflation stays high while growth stalls. And if that happens, it changes the playbook for every investor.

Inflation is already keeping mortgage rates high, which continues to suppress housing activity. Real estate can’t recover until rates come down—or incomes rise. And I’m seeing signs of weakness in the labor market, too. Hiring has slowed. Delinquencies are rising. Credit card balances are up. The average consumer is stretched thin.

And then there’s the national debt. I’ve said this before: It’s not going to cause a crash tomorrow, but it’s a slow-moving threat that affects everything. A $36 trillion debt load increases inflation expectations, raises the cost of borrowing, and limits the government’s ability to respond in a crisis. What’s worse, neither political party is seriously addressing it. In fact, new proposals are only adding to the deficit. That tells me we’re flying blind on one of the most important long-term issues in the economy.

Consumers Are Starting to Crack

We can’t ignore the micro side of this either. The American consumer—the foundation of our economy—is under pressure. I look at the data every week, and the trends aren’t encouraging. Delinquencies are ticking up. Student loan payments are back in full swing. Wages aren’t keeping up with inflation. And consumer sentiment is falling.

I’ve always believed that when consumers feel squeezed, they spend less. And when that happens, corporate earnings take a hit. That’s why I think the stock market is mispricing some of this risk. The fundamentals don’t justify the optimism I’m seeing right now.

So, is Jamie Dimon Right?

Do I think we’re heading into a crash? Not necessarily. But do I think most investors are underestimating the risks in today’s market? Absolutely.

I sold some equities earlier this year—not for political reasons, but because I saw more value elsewhere. I’ve held back from selling more, but I’ve definitely changed my strategy. I’m in capital preservation mode right now. I’m not looking to make massive moves. I’m looking to protect my downside and position myself for whatever comes next.

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What Could Actually Improve the Outlook?

Let’s game it out.

Could tax cuts help? Maybe—but they won’t take effect until 2026, and they won’t benefit everyone equally.

Could AI drive new growth? Possibly. But in the short term, AI adoption could lead to layoffs and economic adjustment. It’s not a silver bullet for consumer spending.

Could we see a full pullback on tariffs? That would help. But it’s far from guaranteed, especially in an election cycle.

From where I sit, none of these levers provide a quick or certain path to recovery. That’s why I think we need to adjust expectations. I’m not saying you stop investing—but I am saying this is a time for discipline.

What I’m Doing Right Now

I’ve shifted my focus toward safety and smart positioning. I’ve raised my cash reserves. I’ve culled underperforming assets. I’ve tightened my real estate criteria.

If I buy property right now, it has to meet a strict checklist:

It must be priced below market value.

It must be cash-flow positive from day one.

I’m putting more money down and using less leverage.

I’m only doing deals where I see walk-in equity and a strong exit strategy.

In fact, I’m buying a property this week. But I’m going slower than usual. I’m being conservative. And I’m keeping an eye on the data every step of the way.

Complacency isn’t a Strategy—Preparation is

Markets go through cycles. And the best investors don’t get caught up in euphoria or fear. They adapt. They manage risk. They prepare for different outcomes. That’s what I’m doing now.

I’m not predicting doom. But I’m also not pretending everything’s fine just because the market bounced back. We have too many structural challenges to ignore, and the signs are right in front of us.

If you’re feeling uncertain, that’s not a bad thing. It means you’re paying attention. The worst thing you can do right now is assume that everything will work itself out. The smarter move is to stay cautious, stay diversified, and focus on building long-term resilience.

That’s how I’m playing it. And I think more investors should consider doing the same.

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Dave Meyer is a real estate investor and the VP of Data & Analytics at BiggerPockets. Follow him @thedatadeli.

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by TheAdviserMagazine
October 23, 2025
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JLco Julia Amaral / Shutterstock.comIf you are an unhappy senior, there is hope. About 1 in 4 adults who are...

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INTC Earnings: Intel swings to profit in Q3 FY25; revenue up 3%

INTC Earnings: Intel swings to profit in Q3 FY25; revenue up 3%

by TheAdviserMagazine
October 23, 2025
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Semiconductor giant Intel Corporation (NASDAQ: INTC) reported a profit for the third quarter of fiscal 2025, compared to a loss in...

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‘Cash, precious metals, crypto’ is new norm for peak stock market risk

‘Cash, precious metals, crypto’ is new norm for peak stock market risk

by TheAdviserMagazine
October 23, 2025
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With a handful of mega-cap tech and AI stocks at the top of the S&P 500 Index dominating the U.S....

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5 Tips for Auditing Your Expenses and Strengthening Your Finances

5 Tips for Auditing Your Expenses and Strengthening Your Finances

by TheAdviserMagazine
October 23, 2025
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PeopleImages.com - Yuri A / Shutterstock.comHow you manage your expenses can make or break your financial plan — and it...

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What We’re Buying During This Real Estate Correction

What We’re Buying During This Real Estate Correction

by TheAdviserMagazine
October 23, 2025
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Dave:Last week I spent an entire episode laying out that I think we are in a market correction. We’re not...

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China’s property slump is far from bottoming. But Beijing is prioritizing tech growth

China’s property slump is far from bottoming. But Beijing is prioritizing tech growth

by TheAdviserMagazine
October 23, 2025
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A new residential complex under construction in Hangzhou, Zhejiang Province, China on October 20, 2025. Cfoto | Future Publishing |...

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Coinbase adds 24/7 trading for XRP and Solana futures amid derivatives expansion

Coinbase adds 24/7 trading for XRP and Solana futures amid derivatives expansion

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Why There’s Still No End in Sight for Higher Rates—And What That Means for Real Estate Investors

Why There’s Still No End in Sight for Higher Rates—And What That Means for Real Estate Investors

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77-year-old popular furniture retailer closes store locations

77-year-old popular furniture retailer closes store locations

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Pennsylvania House of Representatives Rejects Update to Child Custody Laws

Pennsylvania House of Representatives Rejects Update to Child Custody Laws

October 7, 2025
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What to Do When a Loved One Dies in North Carolina

What to Do When a Loved One Dies in North Carolina

October 8, 2025
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Probate vs. Non-Probate Assets: What’s the Difference?

Probate vs. Non-Probate Assets: What’s the Difference?

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California Attorney Pleads Guilty For Role In 2M Ponzi Scheme

California Attorney Pleads Guilty For Role In $912M Ponzi Scheme

October 15, 2025
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Baby Boomers Are Flocking to This Florida Town — but Not for the Weather

Baby Boomers Are Flocking to This Florida Town — but Not for the Weather

October 9, 2025
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INTC Earnings: Intel swings to profit in Q3 FY25; revenue up 3%

INTC Earnings: Intel swings to profit in Q3 FY25; revenue up 3%

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Former BLS chief warns Powell is “flying blind” at a pivotal time for the Fed

Former BLS chief warns Powell is “flying blind” at a pivotal time for the Fed

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From Hedge to Test Case: Gold’s Volatility and the Limits of Safety

From Hedge to Test Case: Gold’s Volatility and the Limits of Safety

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The Myth of Planned Obsolescence

The Myth of Planned Obsolescence

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Kraken Posts Record Revenue in Q3 Amid Expansion, IPO Buzz

Kraken Posts Record Revenue in Q3 Amid Expansion, IPO Buzz

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China gains foothold in Gaza Strip

China gains foothold in Gaza Strip

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How advisors are using AI without explicit SEC guidance

How advisors are using AI without explicit SEC guidance

October 23, 2025
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Kraken Posts Record Revenue in Q3 Amid Expansion, IPO Buzz

Kraken Posts Record Revenue in Q3 Amid Expansion, IPO Buzz

October 23, 2025
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How Some Retirees Are Finding Happiness Again After Age 60

How Some Retirees Are Finding Happiness Again After Age 60

October 23, 2025
edit post
INTC Earnings: Intel swings to profit in Q3 FY25; revenue up 3%

INTC Earnings: Intel swings to profit in Q3 FY25; revenue up 3%

October 23, 2025
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Chicken Fried Rice ( Family Dinner Idea)

Chicken Fried Rice ($10 Family Dinner Idea)

October 23, 2025
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Tesla’s weak earnings show how the ‘Musk Magic’ Premium is inflating its share price

Tesla’s weak earnings show how the ‘Musk Magic’ Premium is inflating its share price

October 23, 2025
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