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Home Market Research Economy

Has Trump Has Guaranteed Our War Model Will Be Correct?

by TheAdviserMagazine
15 hours ago
in Economy
Reading Time: 27 mins read
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Has Trump Has Guaranteed Our War Model Will Be Correct?
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When President Trump actually addressed the United Nations General Assembly during his first term, I remember that he criticized globalism, drawing derisive laughter that momentarily derailed his remarks. This time, nobody was laughing.

I had hoped that Trump’s flip-flop on Ukraine, which is now costing him sharply in the polls, would have just been a hard-nosed negotiation tactic. It appeared that he was perhaps being sarcastic, and one can even read this as walking away, insofar as he is mouthing everything that the NEOCONS and their mouthpiece, the ISW, keep saying that the sanctions are working and the Russian economy is about to collapse. Thus, is Russia a Paper Tiger? Then we have NATO, the Neocon retirement home, can walk in with 3.4 million troops against Russia’s 1.5, and Putin will fall to his knees and plead for his life. Can Ukraine take back its territory and invade Russia?

Before this, Trump admitted that Ukraine was losing. At that meeting in the White House when Trump said Zelensky had no cards, this is inconsistent with his new flip-flop. Ukraine stands ZERO chance of surviving as a country because the EU is just using Ukraine as a pawn in their desire to conquer Russia. Zelensky is just lining his pockets to come out as a billionaire and flee Ukraine before it is toast.

Neocon Propaganda

The European leaders believe all of the NEOCON propaganda because they are the ones about to collapse, and they want to pretend Russia will fall first, and they get to pick up what’s left. This is the biggest crop of fools I have ever seen in my 50 years. Then, telling the EU to stop buying Russian oil when their economies would collapse is another sarcastic type of remark. In reality, the EU needs Russia, but attempting to conquer it will ultimately lead to the demise of the EU.

But insulting Russia that it is a “paper tiger” and telling the NEOCON puppet NeoNazi Zelensky he could keep all of Ukraine, which is the green light to kill all the Russians that are there in the Donbas and finish Bandera’s ethnic cleansing, and invade Russia just for the fun of it and take their territory, is advocating an EU invasion of Russia. Then telling NATO to shoot down any Russian plane it desires is total insanity. I doubt that Trump has any intention of sending American boots on the ground, but that’s not the plan of the EU, NATO, and NeoNazi Zelensky. Yet calling Russia a “paper tiger” may be sarcastic, feeding into the EU’s stupidity, but it struck a nerve in Moscow.

2025_09_27_07_20_56_King_key_to_persuading_Trump_that_Ukraine_can_win_war

Starmer Imprison YouThe NeoNazi Zelensky is saying that the King of England, in private talks with Trump, was “very important”, persuading Trump to support Ukraine, and that they can defeat Russia. If the King of England had actually taken that position, he would have sealed the destruction of the UK. If you continue the count from the first monarch of Great Britain (Queen Anne) up to the current king, the total number of monarchs (Kings and Queens) of England/Britain is 13. That is NOT a lucky number, and our computer has long warned that he could be the last, at least from a UK perspective.

Of course, Starmer has destroyed more of the British economy and culture than any PM in the entire history of Britain since the union of 1707. This may be what King Charles could be the last Monarch. Starmer is utterly destroying the UK.

 

Finland’s President Alexander Stubb has said that Putin should be worried now that Trump has joined their side against Russia. Trump has emboldened all of Europe since they are too stupid to realize their dreams are really a nightmare, and they see this as the green light for World War III, with the NEOCONS telling them Russia is collapsing and easy prey. They have convinced these European leaders that they can take Russia with one arm tied behind their back and he will NEVER use nuclear weapons. They now have Trump ready to draft Americans and send them to another endless war to die for the glory of the NEOCONS.

Has Trump Has Guaranteed Our War Model Will Be Correct?

You can insult countries in trade disputes, but this is threatening the integrity of Russia and basically says it’s a joke of a country that should not even exist, which is the way that can be taken. What Trump seems to be naive about is that these NEOCONS have complete control of NATO and the EU. There is NO WAY they will EVER accept Russia as a peaceful nation. They will NEVER stop their quest to destroy Russia and ultimately China. John Bolton, Dic Cheney, Hillary Clinton, Lindsey Grachm, and the hatred Russians inspired by John McCain live on and on and on.

shutterstock_2647066871

If Trump thinks he is being clever with a sarcastic commentary, our computer is warning that he is giving the green light to NATO to start WWIII and then invoke Article 5. Things do not always work out as intended. They can use his comments against him and tell the world he said we can take part of Russia!

2025_09_26_13_53_59_Trump_says_NATO_countries_should_shoot_down_Russian_aircraft_that_violate_airspa

The other side of this question cannot be interpreted as a sarcastic remark when Trump tells the EU to shoot down Russian Planes. I don’t think giving the NEOCONS this type of permission will exonerate Trump from the history books, for they will say he ordered us to do this – he started WWIII.

EU New Scheme To Rob Russian AssetsEI taking Russian Assets

Brussels is scheming to steal all the Russian assets and use them to fund its conquest of Russia. Up to now, they can seize interest generated by Russian assets but not the capital itself. They are presenting this as Ukraine’s ability to defend itself and rebuild. But then they want to sell arms to Ukraine, which they will use the Russian money to fund the EU. The new proposal to hand them the actual capital itself is being called “legally creative,” and they want to release $200 billion to $300 billion at Euroclear, while France has another $70 billion, and rumors have it that they have been dipping into that illegally already. Presenting this as a major stream of additional funding for Zelensky without technically expropriating the Russian assets themselves, which would be legally risky.

Ursula Leader of EU

They are proposing to swap the cash for zero-coupon short-term EU bonds. The Commission believes it will avoid accusations of confiscating the money, which violates international law, and NO COUNTRY should have any money in Europe at all!!!! So you buy 30-year zero-coupon European Debt, which they cannot sell, holding off their Sovereign Debt Crisis, then take 30 years of interest now and use that to fund their conquest of Russia. If they destroy Russia, then they get to keep everything.

When the French sought retribution against Germany after World War I and demanded reparation payments, they crushed the German people so profoundly that they turned to Hitler. Pulling this scheme of stealing all of Russia’s assets and replacing them with a €30-year zero-coupon bond may be clever, but the EU will not exist in 30 years, so it is essentially confiscation.

Taurus_Neo_missile

Buried in the German rearmament plan revealed by Politico was a €2.373 billion contract for Taurus Neo missiles. That sum should buy roughly 600 units. They will find their way to Ukraine, and Zelensky was to wipe out the Kremlin itself.

2025_09_26_14_15_20_Zelensky_asks_Trump_for_Tomahawk_missiles_in_private_UN_meeting

The Dictator Zelenskiy, and NeoNazi, has refused to allow elections and says he is ready to leave office ONLY after the Russia conflict: ‘My goal is to finish the war.‘ This is why, personally, he will never agree to peace. Zelensky asked Trump for Tomahawk missiles in a private UN meeting. Zelensky threatened Putin that those in the Kremlin should know where the bomb shelters are when he gets YS Tomahawk missiles.

 

Sanctions Russia

The U.S. sanctions on Cuba were imposed in two parts by President Dwight D. Eisenhower, which was the first trade embargo in response to the revolutionary government of Fidel Castro nationalizing U.S.-owned properties (like oil refineries and sugar mills) without compensation and aligning with the Soviet Union during the Cold War. This initially involved cutting off the Cuban sugar quota, a major blow to the island’s economy. Then, on February 7, 1962, President John F. Kennedy formally declared a full economic embargo against Cuba through Proclamation 3447. This made the restrictions comprehensive and legally binding.

Are the Sanctions Still There Today? Yes, the core U.S. economic embargo on Cuba is still in place today.

This is what Putin looks at. Once the West imposes sanctions for geopolitical reasons, they become permanent. The Cuban sanctions are still there 65 years later, long after Fidel Castro is long gone.  It is still illegal to sell Cuban Cigars commercially within the United States.

Look at Iran. The major international sanctions began in 1979 after the U.S. Embassy hostage crisis, but the most severe and impactful sanctions were imposed between 2006 and 2012, primarily over Iran’s nuclear program. The Iran sanctions have been there for 46 years, and the government has still not fallen.

There is ZERO hope of Russia ever joining the world economy, and this is what they are coming to grips with.

Zelensky WWIII

NATO is desperate for a FALSE FLAG to justify World War III. The NEOCONS have spent their entire lives dreaming about destroying all Russians. It does not matter that Communism fell. They hate the Russian people. That’s OK, but if you say you do not like immigrants, Starmer will throw you in prison for hate speech. They use it all the time when it comes to the Russian people as a whole. Initially, I warned that all my sources indicated Zelensky was hand-picked to create WWIII by the Neocons. Many Ukrainians do not believe he was legitimately elected.

Medvedev Dmitry Anatolyevich

“The Kiev drug addict said the Kremlin should know where a bomb shelter is so its occupants can hide when he uses long-range American weapons,” Medvedev wrote. “What the freak needs to know is that Russia can use weapons a bomb shelter won’t protect against. Americans should also keep this in mind.”

Russia has the most nuclear warheads in the world, according to the International Campaign to Abolish Nuclear Weapons.

2025_09_26_18_52_54_Lavrov_Accuses_NATO_EU_of_Declaring_War_on_Russia_The_Epoch_Times

Russia’s top diplomat has accused NATO and the European Union of declaring war on Russia and using Ukraine as its proxy. Of course, the EU and NATO lie through their teeth and have claimed that this is a distortion of reality and said it is Moscow that has “brought war back to Europe.”

Boris_Johnson_We_are_in_a_proxy_war_against_Russia_

Boris Johnson, who has routinely flown to Kiev to instruct Zelensky, cannot sign peace deals, to insist on going to the White House and embarrass Trump into funding Europe’s war to conquer Russia, has publicly admitted that “We are in a proxy war against Russia.”  I am so sick and tired of these European lies. Enough is enough.

Johnson_derailed_2022_talks_with_Russia_Daily_Saba

Both he and Foreign Secretary David Lammy have repeatedly said “Labour will stand with Ukraine for as long as it takes to win”. Prime Minister Keir Starmer has also told Zelensky he is willing to allow Ukraine’s use of UK-supplied long-range missiles to hit targets inside Russia.

2025_09_26_21_16_34_Kremlin_says_Trump_s_Ukraine_shift_mistaken_and_swayed_by_Zelenskiy_NewsBreak

Reuters has reported that the Kremlin “flatly rejected what Donald Trump said was the rationale behind his rhetorical U-turn on the war in Ukraine, saying it appeared that the U.S. president had been influenced by Ukraine’s leader and was mistaken.”

 

2025_09_26_09_06_27_Plan_On_It_Martin_Armstrong_Sees_100_Chance_Of_Nuclear_War_ZeroHedge

Look, I have been trying to defeat my own computer all the time. I have failed every single time. These forecasts are personal opinions. This is why we have more institutional clients than probably everyone else combined. It’s not that my opinion is better than everyone. They want to know what the computer says, not me. When people thought I was nuts, saying 100% chance of nuclear war was on the horizon, and Trump seemed to be a real president, people wondered how that forecast could possibly be correct. I myself was on the phone with some people in Congress and was told they would keep us out of war with Russia. Those days are gone in just a few weeks.

 

When I ask Socrates what the prospects of nuclear war are, it still comes up with 100%. It still sees the end of Ukraine, and it still projects the collapse of the European Union post-2030. These are not my personal opinions.

Ukraine_Hryvnia Y Array 6 16 24 Flatlining

 

Geopolitics 1

I am the RELUCTANT economist and geopolitical analyst. These are fields I never intended to aspire to. If you had asked me in High School if I would want to be advising on this level internationally, flying from country to country, addressing boardrooms of some of the largest multinational companies in the world, I would have said you were out of your mind. I was a trader whose father pushed me into computer engineering in the late ’60s because I did not want to become a lawyer and follow him in his footsteps with “and son” on the door.

 

What I created Socrates because I saw that the world functioned interconnected throughout history and as a trader, but the standard academic economics is confined to domestic views exclusively, all because it is LEFTIST, and the real goal is to manipulate the economy and society for political agendas. I saw the world as a trader, not an academic, and what I created has been far more accurate than anything out there. The academics are trying to create equality, and that was the first step in WOKEISM. I went in a different direction because I was a trader, and if you trade on theory, you won’t survive long.

Friedman Essays in Positive Economics 2Milton Friedman

After learning computer engineering from the hardware to the software, I was able to create what became the first fully functioning Artificial Intelligence computer, which monitored the entire world to assist me in hedge fund management. It was based on reality and capital flows, rather than academic theories of equality. When Milton Friedman came to listen to me speak on world capital flows and foreign exchange in Chicago, I was shocked. He came up and said that was the best speech he had ever heard and that what I was doing was what he had only dreamed about. He had written in 1953 that a floating exchange rate would provide a check and balance against governments. That is why he told me what I was doing was very important. I had seen myself just as a trader. Milton was the ONLY academic I ever met who thought outside the box and was not a Keynesian.

1985EconomistAdd Full R1985EconomistAdd

I was named Economist of the Decade for the ’80s. I took the bank page of the Economist for three week in July 1985 to announce the turn in the Economic Confidence Model that deflation was over, inflation would then begin, and that was the low in gold, the peak in the dollar with the pound reaching $1.03, and because in 1983 I was on TV and forecast that the British pound would fall from T2 level to par, everyone thought that forecast was nuts.

1983 Trenton Times 1983 Wall Street Journal

By 1983, I was being touted as the highest-paid analyst in the world. The WSJ interviewed many clients. They were shocked. They told me people said they would pay $10,000 an hour back then. I did not realize I was advising on tens of billions in 1983.

EQUITY Economist of Decade Martin Armstrong

Equity Magazine Text 1990Australian-062089

Takeover Boom 80sDow Jones Earnings Book Value 1937 1982

By the end of the 1980s, I had been called America’s top economist. I advised major takeover players, such as Alan Bond from Australia. We made so much money that he created Bond University. The computer had projected that the stock market would TRIPLE. People could not believe that forecast. I would speak at conferences and show these two charts that the book value of the Dow reached its final historical low in 1977 from the 1929 high.

Eonomic Confidence Model Public Private MA

 

Public v Private

I was running around warning that a major shift was taking place with the transition from PUBLIC to PRIVATE confidence, and the low in book value was the hallmark of a public wave, where stocks were a dirty word and government was to be trusted, post-Great Depression. People bought the bonds and discarded the stocks. From the 1975 low of 622 on the S&P, it rallied into 1987 to 3378 level. This was why I took the back cover of the Economist for 3 weeks during July 1985 to go on record (1985.65) that a major change in the world economy would take place. That was the Plaza Accord, the birth of the G5, and the peak in the dollar, ending the deflation.

The computer was correct again.

 

 

Letter Armstrong to Reagan October 1985 With PhotoJack KEMP letter

Because I was at the forefront of foreign exchange forecasting, I was called on in 1985 when they were creating the G5 – now G20. I even wrote to President Reagan objecting to this attempt to manipulate the dollar down to relieve the trade deficit. They did that at the Plaza Accord in 1985. They disrupted the capital flows and were right on target with the ECM model for the turn in July 1985.

1987 Crash Brady Commission

ECM 1987 Crash

When the 1987 Crash took place, our model forecasted that even to the very day, I was then called into the 1987 Presidential Commission investigating the crash. I managed to get them not to blame computer trading, but it was really the G5 and the manipulation of the currency markets. Lowering the dollar may make your exports cheaper, but it also devalues all assets purchased by foreigners, compelling them to sell.

1995 Political Forecast 2 21 Detail

The computer forecast that there would be a sweeping Republican victory during the midterms in 1994.  But the forecast was also put out that the Democratic Party may become extinct after 2020. We have seen deep divisions, and the risk that this will split has increased post-2024.

1997 Asian Currency Crisis

Rubin LetterGeithneir R

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

MA China Diet r

 

I was called in by the Bank of China concerning the 1997 Asian Currency Crisis. I had the opportunity to witness the transition from Communism to Capitalism firsthand.

FT June 27 1998

MA Fund Manager YearDeutscheBank 1

I was named Hedge Fund Manager of the year for that call, we had made up to 60% in a single month. It was at the June 1998 Conference that I also met with the commission designing the Euro afterward. They had taken the entire back row of that conference.

Barrons 2010 detailDjow New High Barrons

Time Magazine 2009

Armstrong FX Person of the Year

In 2015, I even met with the Swiss central bank to warn them that the peg was about to break. They thought they could hold it. I warned that it was impossible.

I have done my best to help society and have paid the price for that. They can accuse me of having too much influence, but whenever I try to warn them not to do something, they do not listen. So my warnings about war and the ultimate destruction of Western Society go in one ear and out the other. People believe what they want to believe, as Julius Caesar said long ago. I have an unmatched track record. But they still will not listen.

Conclusion Computer Key

RTWhat I have learned has come from my clients, who come from around the world, because we were the only place to obtain foreign exchange forecasting from the 1970s into the early 1980s. They taught me to see the world through everyone’s eyes and that we will all act in our own self-interest.

That is why I even appeared on Russian TV, and we maintain offices in China. You must see how everyone sees the world, for that determines how they will respond – not your myopic view. We must be unbiased to survive. The forecasts are based on reality and the global perspective that Socrates provides by monitoring everything. These forecasts are NOT my personal opinion. I have no desire to see war, and I have done everything I can to defeat my own computer, but I always fail.

Sun Su Art of War Know Your Enemy



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