No Result
View All Result
SUBMIT YOUR ARTICLES
  • Login
Thursday, October 2, 2025
TheAdviserMagazine.com
  • Home
  • Financial Planning
    • Financial Planning
    • Personal Finance
  • Market Research
    • Business
    • Investing
    • Money
    • Economy
    • Markets
    • Stocks
    • Trading
  • 401k Plans
  • College
  • IRS & Taxes
  • Estate Plans
  • Social Security
  • Medicare
  • Legal
  • Home
  • Financial Planning
    • Financial Planning
    • Personal Finance
  • Market Research
    • Business
    • Investing
    • Money
    • Economy
    • Markets
    • Stocks
    • Trading
  • 401k Plans
  • College
  • IRS & Taxes
  • Estate Plans
  • Social Security
  • Medicare
  • Legal
No Result
View All Result
TheAdviserMagazine.com
No Result
View All Result
Home Market Research Business

History shows colossal capex from AI giants like Amazon and Meta could lead to underperformance in their stock

by TheAdviserMagazine
1 month ago
in Business
Reading Time: 3 mins read
A A
History shows colossal capex from AI giants like Amazon and Meta could lead to underperformance in their stock
Share on FacebookShare on TwitterShare on LInkedIn


A chart is displayed behind a trader on the floor of the New York Stock Exchange (NYSE) shortly after the opening bell in New YorkReuters

Tech giants investing billions in AI are risking future stock performance, says Morningstar.

High capital expenditure may hurt stock returns as it increases competition and supply.

Alphabet, Microsoft, and Amazon’s spending in particular has cut into cash flows.

AI hyperscalers like Amazon, Microsoft, Alphabet, and Meta have invested billions in developing the technology and plan to spend even more — but history has a warning for their stock price.

Tech giants are locked in an AI arms race, but their spending spree has potentially negative implications for their stock, a recent analysis from Morningstar shows.

Data from the last 60 years shows stocks in the top 20% in capital expenditure relative to current sales have subsequently underformed relative to every other capex quintile.

Investment and subsequent returns
Morningstar

Philip Straehl, chief investment officer at Morningstar Wealth, told Business Insider this week that this is likely because the spending makes the technology more widely available, increasing competition for the big spenders.

Higher capex “generally increases supply,” Straehl said. “It’s more difficult to monetize on those investments.”

Spending has been in the hundreds of billions of dollars so far for the four Big Tech firms mentioned above, and they’re expected to spend $364 billion on AI development in 2025 alone.

Since 2024, spending has started to cut into the free cash flow of Alphabet, Microsoft, and Amazon.

free cash flow alphabet, amazon, microsoft
Morningstar

Investors seem to be shrugging this off for now, but Straehl said the huge amounts of spending should start to matter down the line.

“The core businesses of these companies are still doing well,” he said. “But I think what’s going to matter in the future is the ability to monetize generative AI.”

Bob Doll, the chief investment officer at Crossmarket Global Investments, told Business Insider that he agrees with Straehl’s analysis. With the market highly valued amid an uncertain macroeconomic backdrop, he’s emphasizing the free cash flow factor in his portfolio.

“Companies that substantially increase their capex usually lag for a while, until the capex is spent and you can start to see what’s the return on that capex,” Doll said. “So I share that concern.”

In terms of how Straehl is approaching this market, he said he’s taking playing it safe with investor sentiment and market valuations historically high.

“A core tenet of our investment philosophy is that the price paid for a given cash flow should be the primary driver of investment decisions,” Straehl wrote in the August 19 analysis, adding: “We are once again reducing risk and are content to remain on the sidelines, awaiting more attractive opportunities.”

Read the original article on Business Insider



Source link

Tags: AmazonCapexcolossalgiantsHistoryLeadMetashowsstockunderperformance
ShareTweetShare
Previous Post

The Wild, Wild West of legal tech

Next Post

Cleveland Fed’s Hammack casts doubt on interest rate cuts amid inflation worries

Related Posts

edit post
Lyft CEO on the time Bill Gates told him he was making ‘the stupidest decision I’ve ever heard anyone made’

Lyft CEO on the time Bill Gates told him he was making ‘the stupidest decision I’ve ever heard anyone made’

by TheAdviserMagazine
October 1, 2025
0

Before David Risher was tasked with scripting a “comeback story” for ride-sharing company Lyft, he made a career move so...

edit post
The rise of the bro co-CEO

The rise of the bro co-CEO

by TheAdviserMagazine
October 1, 2025
0

Yesterday, Spotify founder and CEO Daniel Ek announced that he’ll be stepping down in the new year. Two of his...

edit post
Stripe is already a payments colossus. Now it wants to make stablecoins the backbone of global commerce

Stripe is already a payments colossus. Now it wants to make stablecoins the backbone of global commerce

by TheAdviserMagazine
October 1, 2025
0

Last October, the payments giant Stripe announced a blockbuster $1.1 billion acquisition of Bridge, a little-known startup focused on the...

edit post
AI godfather warns humanity risks extinction by hyperintelligent machines with their own ‘preservation goals’ within 10 years

AI godfather warns humanity risks extinction by hyperintelligent machines with their own ‘preservation goals’ within 10 years

by TheAdviserMagazine
October 1, 2025
0

The so-called “godfather of AI”, Yoshua Bengio, claims tech companies racing for AI dominance could be bringing us closer to...

edit post
Conagra Reaffirms Outlook Even As Tariffs Add To Inflation

Conagra Reaffirms Outlook Even As Tariffs Add To Inflation

by TheAdviserMagazine
October 1, 2025
0

Conagra Brands Inc. (NYSE:CAG) on Wednesday posted first-quarter fiscal 2026 results that topped Wall Street expectations but showed year-over-year declines....

edit post
US markets regulators start shuttering as government shutdown cuts federal funding

US markets regulators start shuttering as government shutdown cuts federal funding

by TheAdviserMagazine
October 1, 2025
0

U.S. market regulators began the process of furloughing workers on Wednesday as the federal government shut down after Congress failed...

Next Post
edit post
Cleveland Fed’s Hammack casts doubt on interest rate cuts amid inflation worries

Cleveland Fed's Hammack casts doubt on interest rate cuts amid inflation worries

edit post
What Citizen Development Means For AI-Enhanced Businesses

What Citizen Development Means For AI-Enhanced Businesses

  • Trending
  • Comments
  • Latest
edit post
What Happens If a Spouse Dies Without a Will in North Carolina?

What Happens If a Spouse Dies Without a Will in North Carolina?

September 14, 2025
edit post
California May Reimplement Mask Mandates

California May Reimplement Mask Mandates

September 5, 2025
edit post
Does a Will Need to Be Notarized in North Carolina?

Does a Will Need to Be Notarized in North Carolina?

September 8, 2025
edit post
Who Needs a Trust Instead of a Will in North Carolina?

Who Needs a Trust Instead of a Will in North Carolina?

September 1, 2025
edit post
DACA recipients no longer eligible for Marketplace health insurance and subsidies

DACA recipients no longer eligible for Marketplace health insurance and subsidies

September 11, 2025
edit post
‘Quiet luxury’ is coming for the housing market, The Corcoran Group CEO says. It’s not just the Hamptons, Aspen, and Miami anymore

‘Quiet luxury’ is coming for the housing market, The Corcoran Group CEO says. It’s not just the Hamptons, Aspen, and Miami anymore

September 9, 2025
edit post
Stripe is already a payments colossus. Now it wants to make stablecoins the backbone of global commerce

Stripe is already a payments colossus. Now it wants to make stablecoins the backbone of global commerce

0
edit post
SK Hynix shares hit 25-year high, Samsung also surges as chipmakers partner with OpenAI

SK Hynix shares hit 25-year high, Samsung also surges as chipmakers partner with OpenAI

0
edit post
2026 Tax Calculator | One Big Beautiful Bill Tax Calculator

2026 Tax Calculator | One Big Beautiful Bill Tax Calculator

0
edit post
Tokenized Money Market Funds Emerge, Piloted by Industry Big Whigs

Tokenized Money Market Funds Emerge, Piloted by Industry Big Whigs

0
edit post
Ten Grocery Items You Can Get for Less than  shipped!

Ten Grocery Items You Can Get for Less than $2 shipped!

0
edit post
Dublin biotech Aerska launches with €17.8M Seed round to tackle Alzheimer’s and Parkinson’s 

Dublin biotech Aerska launches with €17.8M Seed round to tackle Alzheimer’s and Parkinson’s 

0
edit post
SK Hynix shares hit 25-year high, Samsung also surges as chipmakers partner with OpenAI

SK Hynix shares hit 25-year high, Samsung also surges as chipmakers partner with OpenAI

October 1, 2025
edit post
Investing Lessons From Video Game Economies: What Fortnite and Roblox Can Teach You About Money

Investing Lessons From Video Game Economies: What Fortnite and Roblox Can Teach You About Money

October 1, 2025
edit post
Pi Network arms its testnet with a DEX and AMM for DeFi innovation

Pi Network arms its testnet with a DEX and AMM for DeFi innovation

October 1, 2025
edit post
Investor Purchases Surge Despite Mortgage Rates—What’s Driving It?

Investor Purchases Surge Despite Mortgage Rates—What’s Driving It?

October 1, 2025
edit post
Judge nixes ex-Well Fargo broker’s tax write-off claim

Judge nixes ex-Well Fargo broker’s tax write-off claim

October 1, 2025
edit post
Why Do The Most Successful People Sleep So Much?

Why Do The Most Successful People Sleep So Much?

October 1, 2025
The Adviser Magazine

The first and only national digital and print magazine that connects individuals, families, and businesses to Fee-Only financial advisers, accountants, attorneys and college guidance counselors.

CATEGORIES

  • 401k Plans
  • Business
  • College
  • Cryptocurrency
  • Economy
  • Estate Plans
  • Financial Planning
  • Investing
  • IRS & Taxes
  • Legal
  • Market Analysis
  • Markets
  • Medicare
  • Money
  • Personal Finance
  • Social Security
  • Startups
  • Stock Market
  • Trading

LATEST UPDATES

  • SK Hynix shares hit 25-year high, Samsung also surges as chipmakers partner with OpenAI
  • Investing Lessons From Video Game Economies: What Fortnite and Roblox Can Teach You About Money
  • Pi Network arms its testnet with a DEX and AMM for DeFi innovation
  • Our Great Privacy Policy
  • Terms of Use, Legal Notices & Disclosures
  • Contact us
  • About Us

© Copyright 2024 All Rights Reserved
See articles for original source and related links to external sites.

Welcome Back!

Login to your account below

Forgotten Password?

Retrieve your password

Please enter your username or email address to reset your password.

Log In
No Result
View All Result
  • Home
  • Financial Planning
    • Financial Planning
    • Personal Finance
  • Market Research
    • Business
    • Investing
    • Money
    • Economy
    • Markets
    • Stocks
    • Trading
  • 401k Plans
  • College
  • IRS & Taxes
  • Estate Plans
  • Social Security
  • Medicare
  • Legal

© Copyright 2024 All Rights Reserved
See articles for original source and related links to external sites.